Monitoring Report August 2019

Europe: The Rift between Expectation and Reality – to be a World Power

The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) or Iran-Deal contained many flaws and loopholes, even if it would have been fully and faithfully implemented. Which it wasn’t. Internationally renowned experts like Olli Heinonen or Mark Dubowitz, as well as politicians like Donald Trump or Benjamin Netanyahu have been sounding the alarm for the better part of the last five to six years. But it has only been in the past few months, that the Iranian Regime openly, consciously and admittedly violated fundamental commitments it made under the JCPOA, i.e. de facto breaking it. This happened under immense und unrelenting pressure from the Trump-Administration for Iran’s malign behavior and policies. In a current piece, Dubowitz’  colleagues Jacob Nagel and David Adesnik argue, that the IAEA, the UN nuclear watchdog, has lost its credibility regarding Iran and is in need of a recalibration in order to fulfill its duty and mandate regarding the Iranian nuclear program. 1 The UN has yet to come to grips with the evolving situation in Iran and needs to adapt to the new reality, that the JCPOA might very well end up in the dustbin of history. After the US-withdrawal from the nuclear deal, the decisive players in this process are the three European powers: Germany, France and Great Britain.

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